TRINITY IV: Predictions for Supermassive Black Holes at $z \gtrsim 7$
Authors: Haowen Zhang, Peter Behroozi, Marta Volonteri, Joseph Silk, Xiaohui Fan, James Aird, Jinyi Yang, Feige Wang, Philip F. Hopkins
AI-generated Key Points
- The number of supermassive black holes (SMBHs) with masses greater than $10^9$ solar masses in the observable Universe increases significantly from a redshift of approximately 10 to a redshift of around 2, and then further increases by a factor of about 3 from a redshift of 2 to the present day (redshift 0).
- At a redshift of approximately 6, SMBHs with masses greater than $10^9/10^{10}$ solar masses reside in halos with masses around $(2-3)/(3-5) \times 10^{12}$ solar masses.
- New active galactic nuclei (AGNs) observed by the James Webb Space Telescope (JWST) at redshifts ranging from approximately 7 to 11 are consistent with the predicted relation between SMBH mass and galaxy mass according to the TRINITY model.
- Runaway mergers in nuclear star clusters can potentially serve as progenitors for the observed SMBHs in GN-z11 (at a redshift of 10.6) and CEERS_1019 (at a redshift of 8.7), as suggested by the TRINITY model.
- Future wide area surveys conducted by telescopes like Roman and Euclid, focusing on quasars at high-redshift ranges from 6 to 10, will help reduce uncertainties in the relation between SMBH mass and galaxy mass by up to approximately 0.5 dex.
- The TRINITY model provides valuable insights into the evolution and properties of SMBHs at high redshifts, contributing to our understanding of their connection to galaxies and halos, as well as their formation and growth mechanisms.
Abstract: We present predictions for the high-redshift halo-galaxy-supermassive black hole (SMBH) connection from the TRINITY model. Constrained by a comprehensive compilation of galaxy ($0\leq z \leq 10$) and SMBH datasets ($0\leq z \leq 6.5$), TRINITY finds: 1) The number of SMBHs with $M_\bullet > 10^9 M_\odot$ in the observable Universe increases by six orders of magnitude from $z\sim10$ to $z\sim2$, and by another factor of $\sim 3$ from $z\sim2$ to $z=0$; 2) The $M_\bullet > 10^9/10^{10} M_\odot$ SMBHs at $z\sim 6$ live in haloes with $\sim (2-3)/(3-5) \times 10^{12} M_\odot$; 3) the new JWST AGNs at $7\lesssim z \lesssim 11$ are broadly consistent with the median SMBH mass-galaxy mass relation for AGNs from TRINITY; 4) Seeds from runaway mergers in nuclear star clusters are viable progenitors for the SMBHs in GN-z11 ($z=10.6$) and CEERS_1019 ($z=8.7$); 5) $z=6-10$ quasar luminosity functions from wide area surveys by, e.g., Roman and Euclid, will reduce uncertainties in the $z=6-10$ SMBH mass-galaxy mass relation by up to $\sim 0.5$ dex.
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