AI summary · arXiv: 2208.09148v1 · econ.EM

Understanding Volatility Spillover Relationship Among G7 Nations And India During Covid-19

Avik Das, Dr. Devanjali Nandi Das
Original paper Submitted to arXiv on 19 Aug. 2022 International Journal of Creative Research Thoughts (IJCRT), ISSN:2320-2882, Volume.10, Issue 6, pp.c261-c269, June 2022 License: CC0 1.0

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  • Investigates interconnectedness and volatility transmission dynamics among G7 countries and India during COVID-19 pandemic
  • Aims to understand changes in volatility spillover effects and time-varying conditional correlation between economies
  • Employs bivariate BEKK and t-DCC (1,1) GARCH (1,1) models to assess volatility spillover effects
  • Significant shifts in dynamics of volatility spillover between India and G7 countries before and during COVID-19
  • Increase in conditional correlation among economies during the pandemic, indicating escalation in systematic risk
  • Highlights heightened interconnectedness and potential contagion effects within financial markets
  • Provides insights for asset managers and foreign corporations to improve investment decisions and implement effective hedging measures
  • Valuable for financial regulators in assessing market risk during future crises similar to COVID-19
  • Expands scope of analysis to include emerging markets & Asian countries, contributing towards a more comprehensive understanding of global financial interconnectedness
  • Recognizes importance of information transfer through social media & other channels during crises.

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AI-generated keywords: Volatility Spillover G7 Nations India COVID-19 Conditional Correlation

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This paper investigates the interconnectedness and volatility transmission dynamics among the G7 countries and India during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020-21. The study aims to understand the nature of change in volatility spillover effects and time-varying conditional correlation between these economies. To assess the volatility spillover effects, the researchers employ bivariate BEKK and t-DCC (1,1) GARCH (1,1) models. The findings reveal significant shifts in the dynamics of volatility spillover between India and the G7 countries before and during COVID-19. Notably, there has been an alteration in the extent of volatility spillover during the pandemic compared to pre-COVID environment. During this global health crisis, there is a sharp increase in conditional correlation among these economies, indicating an escalation in systematic risk between countries. This highlights heightened interconnectedness and potential contagion effects within financial markets. The study contributes to a better understanding of dynamics of volatility spillover between G7 countries and India during times of crisis such as COVID-19. Asset managers and foreign corporations can utilize these changing spillover dynamics to improve investment decisions and implement effective hedging measures to protect their interests. Furthermore, this research provides valuable insights for financial regulators in assessing market risk in future crises similar to COVID-19. By understanding how volatility spillovers evolve across different economies during periods of uncertainty, regulators can enhance their ability to monitor systemic risks effectively. In addition to examining developed markets like USA, Europe, Japan; this study also sheds light on volatility spillover relationship in emerging markets & Asian countries by expanding scope of analysis contributing towards more comprehensive understanding of global financial interconnectedness. The economic impact of COVID-19 outbreak has been unprecedented leading to unique financial & economic disaster causing significant damage with spillover consequences across economies; recognizing importance of information transfer through social media & other channels during such crises.

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