AI summary · arXiv: 2409.03586v1 · q-fin.TR

Optimal position-building strategies in Competition

Neil A. Chriss

Original paper · DOI Submitted to arXiv on 05 Sep. 2024 35 pages, 27 figures License: CC BY-NC-SA 4.0

The essentials

  • Comprehensive analysis of position-building in stock trading competitions using game-theoretic frameworks and mathematical models
  • Introduction of key concepts such as trading strategies, trajectories, and trajectory morphology
  • Discussion on market impact models including permanent and temporary impacts on trading costs
  • Significance of balancing factors to minimize total trading costs, introducing the concept of κ-regimes
  • Exploration of passive position-building strategies and game-theoretic approach to optimal strategy selection
  • Utilization of Almgren-Chriss algorithm for passive strategies and introduction of Euler-Lagrange equation
  • Introduction to non-equilibrium best-response strategies for minimizing total trading costs against known adversaries
  • Analysis of different types of passive strategies - risk-averse, risk-neutral, and eager - for deriving optimal responses
  • Discussion on equilibrium strategies for two traders with closed-form solutions derived through differential equations
  • Exploration of the impact of κ on equilibrium strategy shapes through examples
  • Examination of an equilibrium scenario involving multiple traders with identical target sizes resulting in symmetric equilibrium solutions
  • Addressing uncertainty in selecting optimal position-building strategies by considering scenarios where adversaries' market understanding is unknown

Key points written by AI: they may contain errors, check them against the paper.

AI-generated keywords: Mathematical framework Stock trading competitions Trading strategies Equilibrium strategies Game-theoretic approach

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  • Original abstract
This paper presents a comprehensive analysis of position-building in stock trading competitions using game-theoretic frameworks and mathematical models to optimize trading strategies while considering market impacts and competitive dynamics. The study introduces key concepts such as trading strategies, trajectories, and trajectory morphology, including common shapes observed in trading patterns. It delves into market impact models encompassing both permanent and temporary impacts on trading costs and discusses the significance of balancing these factors to minimize total trading costs. The concept of κ-regimes is introduced to effectively address this balance. Motivating examples and calculations are provided in Section 5 to illustrate the complexities involved in position-building within competitive environments. Section 6 explores passive position-building strategies that disregard competition, setting the stage for a game-theoretic approach to optimal strategy selection in response to competitors. The Almgren-Chriss algorithm is utilized to demonstrate passive strategies and introduce the Euler-Lagrange equation as a fundamental tool. Section 7 introduces non-equilibrium best-response strategies, focusing on minimizing total trading costs when competing against adversaries with known strategies. Different types of passive strategies - risk-averse, risk-neutral, and eager - are analyzed to derive optimal responses. Equilibrium strategies for two traders are discussed in Section 8 where closed-form solutions are derived through differential equations. The impact of κ on equilibrium strategy shapes is explored through examples. In Section 9, an equilibrium scenario involving multiple traders with identical target sizes is examined resulting in symmetric equilibrium solutions. The role of uncertainty in selecting optimal position-building strategies is addressed in Section 11 by considering scenarios where adversaries' market understanding is unknown. This section emphasizes the importance of broadening strategy selection beyond computing equilibrium strategies to encompass a range of potential responses from the adversary's perspective.

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