AI summary · arXiv: 2212.04478v1 · physics.ao-ph

An Interpretable Model of Climate Change Using Correlative Learning

Charles Anderson, Jason Stock

Original paper · DOI Submitted to arXiv on 05 Dec. 2022 NeurIPS 2022 Workshop - Tackling Climate Change with Machine Learning, 4 page limit w/ appendix License: CC BY-NC-SA 4.0

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The essentials

  • The paper presents an interpretable model of climate change using correlative learning.
  • A two-hidden-layer neural network is trained on global temperatures and precipitations from the sixth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) to predict the year.
  • Alopex, a stochastic correlative learning algorithm, is used to find optimal temperature and precipitation maps that best predict a given year.
  • The approach is demonstrated by applying it to CMIP6 data and comparing results with previous studies using linear regression models on CMIP5 data.
  • A detailed explanation of Alopex as a global method for interpreting what a neural network has learned is provided.
  • The effectiveness of the approach is demonstrated by using it to interpret what a neural network has learned when trained on MNIST data.
  • The paper provides valuable insights into how machine learning can be used to understand climate change indicators and offers an interpretable model that can help domain experts better understand how temperatures and precipitations change over time.

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AI-generated keywords: Climate Change Correlative Learning Neural Network Alopex Interpretable Model

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This paper presents an interpretable model of climate change using correlative learning. To address the challenge in determining changes in global temperature and precipitation that may indicate climate change, the authors trained a two-hidden-layer neural network on global temperatures and precipitations from the sixth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) to predict the year. A new way of interpreting what the neural network has learned is explored by using Alopex, a stochastic correlative learning algorithm, to find optimal temperature and precipitation maps that best predict a given year. These maps are compared over multiple years to show how temperature and precipitation patterns indicative of each year change over time. The authors demonstrate their approach by applying it to CMIP6 data and comparing their results with previous studies using linear regression models on CMIP5 data. They also provide a detailed explanation of Alopex as a global method for interpreting what a neural network has learned and demonstrate its effectiveness by using it to interpret what a neural network has learned when trained on MNIST data. This paper provides valuable insights into how machine learning can be used to understand climate change indicators and offers an interpretable model that can help domain experts better understand how temperatures and precipitations change over time, ultimately aiding efforts to tackle climate change.

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