CSF PrP-amyloid seeding predicts clinical onset in inherited prion disease

Authors: T. H. Mok, A. Nihat, S. M. Vallabh, B. Noa, N. Omer, M. Geschwind, S. E. Arnold, E. V. Minikel, J. Collinge, S. Mead

medRxiv preprint
DOI: 10.64898/2026.11.03.26367164 - DOI (medRxiv: Neurology)
Published on 04 Nov. 2026
License: CC BY 4.0
Abstract

Silent proteopathic seed propagation is hypothesised to precede neurodegenerative disease, but direct evidence that it signals near-term clinical conversion in humans is lacking. In prion disease, a prototypic disorder of proteopathic seeding, cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) real-time quaking-induced conversion (RT-QuIC) offers a direct measure of prion protein amyloid seeding activity. We analysed longitudinal CSF RT-QuIC data from 94 PRNP E200K mutation carriers across international natural history cohorts to determine whether seeding status predicts clinical conversion. Eleven carriers developed inherited prion disease; all showed at least one positive RT-QuIC result before onset. First positivity appeared a median of 2.0 years prior to symptoms (IQR 1.3-3.3; range 0.2-4.8). Landmark analyses showed RT-QuIC positivity identified a markedly increased short-term conversion risk, whereas persistently asymptomatic carriers remained negative throughout follow-up. These findings establish CSF RT-QuIC positivity as a biomarker-defined state of incipient conversion in E200K carriers, informing risk stratification and preventive trial design.

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  1. Very close Review
    Recent advancements in QuIC-based diagnostic assays for sporadic and inherited prion diseases: focusing on the emerging role of ES-QuIC
    Rebecca Fox, Jennifer Myskiw, Ben A. Bailey-Elkin et al. · 2026 · Frontiers in Neuroscience · Not summarized yet

    The review surveys QuIC and RT-QuIC diagnostic assays for sporadic and inherited prion diseases, while this paper tests RT-QuIC for predicting E200K carrier conversion.

    Abstract

    Prion diseases are a group of fatal neurological disorders characterized by the accumulation of misfolded prion protein, primarily concentrated in the brain. The development of a family of assays known as Quaking-Induced Conversion (QuIC), particularly Real Time (RT)-QuIC, has revolutionized prion disease diagnosis by detecting and amplifying minute quantities of misfolded prion protein into measurable signals. Despite these advancements, certain prion subtypes, such as rare inherited forms or atypical sporadic variants, can produce structural configurations that resist amplification. To address these limitations, we developed a modified QuIC-based assay to increase sensitivity across a wide…

  2. Close Same method, another problem
    Cerebrospinal fluid α-synuclein seed amplification assay positivity identifies a prognostically distinct subgroup in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis
    Kazuhiro Obara, A. Mastrangelo, Agustina Ranieri et al. · 2026 · medRxiv · preprint, not peer reviewed · Not summarized yet

    The ALS study uses CSF seed amplification assay positivity to identify a prognostically distinct subgroup, applying seed-detection methods to another disease.

    Abstract

    Background: -synuclein (Lewy body-type) co-pathology has been identified at autopsy in a subset of patients with amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS). However, its prevalence and prognostic relevance in vivo remain poorly characterized. Methods: We analyzed baseline cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) -synuclein seed amplification assay (Syn SAA) status in 443 patients with ALS from two cohorts (Nagoya, Japan, n = 248; Bologna, Italy, n = 195). Samples were classified as strong-positive, weak-positive, or negative based on RT-QuIC reactivity across replicate wells, using the assay's established a priori criteria at initial and repeat testing; classifications were corroborated by quantitative kinetic pa…

  3. Close Same method, another problem
    PRNP D178N-129MM prion disease: Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease-like cortical ribboning without prominent early insomnia
    Wan-Yi Wei, Hai-Tian Nan, Zhong-Yun Chen et al. · 2026 · Frontiers in Neuroscience · Not summarized yet

    The case report uses skin RT-QuIC to detect prion seeding in a symptomatic D178N carrier, rather than tracking CSF seeding before E200K onset.

    Abstract

    Background The PRNP p.Asp178Asn (D178N) mutation on a methionine-bearing codon-129 allele is classically associated with fatal familial insomnia (FFI), but some carriers develop a Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease (CJD)-like phenotype. Case presentation and findings We report a 59-year-old woman with two months of rapidly progressive cognitive-language decline, caregiver-observed nocturnal sitting-up and sleep talking, weight loss, extensive cortical diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI) ribboning, positive cerebrospinal fluid 14–3-3, and positive multisite skin real-time quaking-induced conversion. Electroencephalography showed diffuse slowing without periodic sharp-wave complexes. PRNP sequencing ident…

  4. Close Broader context
    Prevention of prion disease symptoms in mice with deep PrP lowering
    J. E. Gentile, J. E. Farley, M. N. Kelemen et al. · 2026 · bioRxiv preprint · AI summary available

    The mouse study tests PrP-lowering treatment to prevent prion symptoms, whereas this study identifies pre-onset CSF seeding as a conversion-risk marker.

    In short

    Deep PrP lowering with a C16-conjugated siRNA prevented symptoms through 500 days in prion-infected mice treated early and extended survival when treatment began after symptoms.

  5. Close Broader context
    Reduced phosphatases and hyperphosphorylated glutamatergic receptors persist from early to late stages of prion disease
    Alexander J. Rajic, Daniel Ojeda-Juarez, Dipannita Sarkar et al. · 2026 · bioRxiv · preprint, not peer reviewed · Not summarized yet

    The mouse study examines synaptic signaling changes across prion disease stages, rather than using CSF seeding to predict onset in human mutation carriers.

    Abstract

    Synapse loss occurs early in prion disease, yet the intracellular signaling driving this dysregulation remains poorly understood. Evidence of neuronal hyperactivity was reported in humans with sporadic and familial CJD as well as in the early stages of prion disease in mice (strain 22L). Here we perform a time course study of prion-infected mice (strain RML) and show an increase in the immediate-early gene, Arc, suggesting this is a conserved response to prions. We also observed a persistent decrease in phosphatase abundance (PP1α and PP2B) in the cerebral cortex starting at the earliest timepoint (preclinical). At this stage, mGluR5 dimers and phosphorylated AMPA receptors were increased. B…

  6. Close Broader context
    Cellular prion protein levels modulate nigrostriatal vulnerability to α-synuclein oligomers in Parkinson’s disease
    Flavio de Souza Júnyor, F. Leser, Sarah de Souza Albuquerque et al. · 2026 · Frontiers in Neuroscience · Not summarized yet

    The Parkinson’s disease study examines how cellular PrP modulates α-synuclein toxicity, not prion seeding as a predictor of inherited disease onset.

    Abstract

    α-Synuclein oligomer (αSynO)-mediated neurodegeneration is a hallmark of Parkinson’s disease (PD) pathogenesis, yet the molecular mechanisms mediating this toxicity remain elusive. In this study, we investigated the cellular prion protein (PrPC) as a key modulator of αSynO-induced neurodegeneration using an integrative translational approach combining human transcriptomic analysis with in vivo bidirectional genetic modulation in mice. Bioinformatics analysis of postmortem substantia nigra samples revealed that the PRNP gene is significantly upregulated in idiopathic PD patients, with its co-expression network enriched for plasma membrane raft organization and synaptic vesicle dynamics. Singl…

  7. Close Same method, another problem
    α-Synuclein Seed Amplification Status Modifies the Relationship Between Plasma p-tau217, Amyloid and Fibrillar Tau
    Í. Rodríguez-Baz, Rosa Ferrer, M. Falip et al. · 2026 · Research Square · preprint, not peer reviewed · Not summarized yet

    The Alzheimer’s study stratifies patients by CSF α-synuclein seed amplification status and examines biomarker relationships, applying seed-status analysis to another disease.

    Abstract

    Abstract Background. Plasma p-tau217 is sufficient to establish a biological diagnosis of Alzheimer's disease (AD) and is and is increasingly used as a routine diagnostic tool. Many patients with AD also carry α-synuclein pathology, detectable by cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) seed amplification assay (αSynSAA). Seeding activity has been linked to more fibrillar tau than amyloid burden alone would predict, but whether this influences plasma p-tau217 levels, or compromises classification at clinical thresholds, is unknown. Methods. Cross-sectional analysis of the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative. Plasma p-tau217 (Fujirebio Lumipulse) was compared by αSynSAA status conditional on amyloid…

  8. Close Same method, another problem
    Urine-Derived Neuronal Extracellular Vesicle α-Synuclein Seed Amplification Assay for Synucleinopathies: A Non-Invasive Biomarker Study.
    H. Tran, Huu Dat Nguyen, T. Nguyen et al. · 2026 · Movement Disorders · Not summarized yet

    The synucleinopathy study applies RT-QuIC to urine-derived neuronal vesicles, using seed amplification for a different protein and sample source.

    Abstract

    BACKGROUND α-Synuclein aggregation is a pathological hallmark of synucleinopathies, including Parkinson's disease (PD) and multiple system atrophy (MSA). Although pathogenic α-synuclein seeds can be detected by real-time quaking-induced conversion (RT-QuIC), current assays primarily rely on cerebrospinal fluid, whose invasiveness limits repeated and large-scale applications. We therefore evaluated the feasibility of detecting pathogenic α-synuclein using urine-derived neuronal extracellular vesicles (NEVs). METHODS Urine-derived NEVs were enriched by direct immunoprecipitation using L1CAM-conjugated magnetic beads. The RT-QuIC assay was performed in 26 patients with PD, 13 with MSA, and 25 d…

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