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Global Ripple Effects of Corporate Tax Reforms

Sebastian Dyrda (University of Toronto), Guangbin Hong (Michigan State University), Muhammad Ali Sajid (University of Toronto), Joseph B. Steinberg (University of Toronto)

National Bureau of Economic Research
DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.7310902 (Business, Management and Accounting)
License: not stated (all rights reserved)

Abstract: We study international spillovers of corporate tax reforms in a fragmented global tax regime. Using firm-level evidence on the 2017 U.S. Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) and a quantitative general-equilibrium model, we illustrate how multinational enterprises (MNEs) propagate local policy shocks throughout the global economy. Our framework emphasizes two key intrinsic properties of intangible capital: non-rivalry and mobile ownership. We find the TCJA generated positive outward spillovers: First, it boosted U.S. MNEs’ intangible investment, raising their foreign subsidiaries’ output. Second, it increased tangible investment of foreign MNEs’ U.S. subsidiaries, incentivizing them to expand intangible investment at home. Conversely, a Global Minimum Tax (GMT) implemented by the rest of the world generates negative inward spillovers for the United States, even if U.S.-parented MNEs are exempt. These findings illustrate that there is no such thing as a purely domestic corporate tax policy. Institutional subscribers to the NBER working paper series, and residents of developing countries may download this paper without additional charge at www.nber.org.

Published on 01 Jan. 2026