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Technical trading rules in the cryptocurrency market
Klaus Grobys (University of Vaasa), Shaker Ahmed (University of Vaasa), Niranjan Sapkota (University of Vaasa)
Abstract: This paper studies simple moving average trading strategies employing daily price data on the eleven most-traded cryptocurrencies in the 2016–2018 period. Our results indicate a variable moving average strategy is successful when using the 20 days moving average trading strategy. Specifically, excluding Bitcoin the technical trading rule generates an excess return of 8.76% p.a. after controlling for the average market return. Our results suggest that cryptocurrency markets are inefficient.