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The Rise of Diffusion Models in Time-Series Forecasting

Caspar Meijer, Lydia Y. Chen

Version 2, 24 pages, 10 figures, 12 tables, For complete LuaTeX source: https://github.com/Capsar/The-Rise-of-Diffusion-Models-in-Time-Series-Forecasting , Written by: Caspar Meijer, Supervised by: Lydia Y. Chen
License: CC BY-NC-SA 4.0

Abstract: This survey delves into the application of diffusion models in time-series forecasting. Diffusion models are demonstrating state-of-the-art results in various fields of generative AI. The paper includes comprehensive background information on diffusion models, detailing their conditioning methods and reviewing their use in time-series forecasting. The analysis covers 11 specific time-series implementations, the intuition and theory behind them, the effectiveness on different datasets, and a comparison among each other. Key contributions of this work are the thorough exploration of diffusion models' applications in time-series forecasting and a chronologically ordered overview of these models. Additionally, the paper offers an insightful discussion on the current state-of-the-art in this domain and outlines potential future research directions. This serves as a valuable resource for researchers in AI and time-series analysis, offering a clear view of the latest advancements and future potential of diffusion models.

Submitted to arXiv on 05 Jan. 2024