AI summary · arXiv: 2301.09949v1 · math.DS

Unifying warfighting functions in mathematical modelling: combat, manoeuvre, and C2

Ryan Ahern, Mathew Zuparic, Keeley Hoek, Alexander Kalloniatis

Original paper · DOI Submitted to arXiv on 24 Jan. 2023 Journal of the Operational Research Society, 73 (9), 2009-2027 30 pages, 16 figures, preprint accepted by the Journal of the Operational Research Society License: NONEXCLUSIVE-DISTRIB 1.0

The essentials

  • The paper explores outcomes of warfare beyond quantity and quality of combatant force elements
  • Effective Command and Control (C2) enables smaller or weaker forces to overcome adversaries with greater resources and firepower
  • Authors combine the Lanchester combat model and Kuramoto-Sakaguchi model to create a Networked-Lanchester-C2 representation of force-on-force military engagement
  • Unifying fires, maneuverability, and C2 into a single mathematical model provides a comprehensive understanding of military engagements
  • Three illustrative use cases demonstrate how the reduced model characterizes global effects in the full system
  • An appropriate balance between internal organizational coupling, resource maneuverability, and weaker lethality allows forces to adapt strategically and overcome stronger adversaries
  • Effective Command and Control is crucial for successful outcomes on the battlefield
  • The mathematical model developed by the authors offers insights into leveraging capabilities for smaller or weaker forces against more powerful opponents
  • Findings have implications for military strategy development and decision-making processes.

Key points written by AI: they may contain errors, check them against the paper.

AI-generated keywords: Command and Control Mathematical Modeling Warfighting Functions Networked-Lanchester-C2 Adaptation

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In the paper titled "Unifying warfighting functions in mathematical modelling: combat, manoeuvre, and C2," authors Ryan Ahern, Mathew Zuparic, Keeley Hoek, and Alexander Kalloniatis explore the outcomes of warfare beyond the traditional focus on quantity and quality of combatant force elements. They argue that effective Command and Control (C2), which allows for maneuverability and adaptation across force elements, can enable smaller or weaker forces to overcome adversaries with greater resources and firepower. To support their argument, the authors combine two mathematical models: the classic Lanchester combat model and the Kuramoto-Sakaguchi model for phase oscillators on a network. This combination results in a flexible Networked-Lanchester-C2 representation of force-on-force military engagement. By unifying three key warfighting functions - fires, maneuverability, and C2 - into a single mathematical model, the authors aim to provide a comprehensive understanding of military engagements. The paper presents three illustrative use cases to demonstrate how this reduced model characterizes global effects in the full system. The authors find that even with inhomogeneous forces, an appropriate balance between internal organizational coupling, resource maneuverability, and weaker lethality can allow a force to adapt strategically and overcome initially stronger adversaries. Overall, this research contributes to our understanding of warfare by highlighting the importance of effective Command and Control in achieving successful outcomes on the battlefield. The mathematical model developed by the authors offers insights into how smaller or weaker forces can leverage their capabilities to gain an advantage over more powerful opponents. The findings have implications for military strategy development as well as decision-making processes. The paper has been accepted by the Journal of Operational Research Society.

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