AI summary · arXiv: 2210.15329v3 · q-fin.RM

Measuring Transition Risk in Investment Funds

Ricardo Crisostomo

Original paper · DOI Submitted to arXiv on 27 Oct. 2022 CNMV Working Paper (2022), Forthcoming 25 pages, 6 figures, 11 tables License: CC BY 4.0

The essentials

  • The authors develop a framework to measure the impact of climate transition on investment portfolios
  • Investment funds suffer a moderate 5.7% loss upon materialization of high transition risk scenario
  • Worst 1% funds experience an average loss of 21.3%
  • Equities are the worst performers (-12.7%), followed by corporate bonds (-5.6%) and government bonds (-4.8%)
  • Sustainable funds are less exposed to transition risk and perform better than overall fund sector in low-carbon transition, validating their choice as green investments
  • An alternative risk measure designed to tackle comparability problems in measuring GHG emissions is presented by the authors
  • Study provides valuable insights into how different asset classes perform under climate transition risks
  • Highlights importance of sustainable investing in mitigating these risks
  • Demonstrates that sustainable funds can be beneficial for investors looking to reduce their exposure to climate change related risks while still achieving satisfactory returns on their investments

Key points written by AI: they may contain errors, check them against the paper.

AI-generated keywords: Climate transition Investment portfolios Carbon footprint Sustainable funds GHG emissions

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  • Original abstract
In this study, the authors develop a comprehensive framework to measure the impact of the climate transition on investment portfolios. They analyze geographical, sectoral, company and ISIN-level data to assess transition risk and find that investment funds suffer a moderate 5.7% loss upon materialization of a high transition risk scenario. However, the risk distribution is significantly left-skewed, with the worst 1% funds experiencing an average loss of 21.3%. The authors discriminate among financial instruments by considering the carbon footprint of specific counterparties and the credit rating, duration, convexity and volatility of individual exposures. They find that equities are the worst performers (-12.7%), followed by corporate bonds (-5.6%) and government bonds (-4.8%). The authors also present results for different economic segments such as real estate or infrastructure. Sustainable funds are found to be less exposed to transition risk and perform better than the overall fund sector in the low-carbon transition, validating their choice as green investments. Furthermore, an alternative risk measure designed to tackle comparability problems in measuring GHG emissions is presented by the authors. Overall, this study provides valuable insights into how different asset classes perform under climate transition risks and highlights the importance of sustainable investing in mitigating these risks. It demonstrates that sustainable funds can be beneficial for investors looking to reduce their exposure to climate change related risks while still achieving satisfactory returns on their investments.

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