Observation of large scale precursor correlations between cosmic rays and earthquakes
Authors: P. Homola, V. Marchenko, A. Napolitano, R. Damian, R. Guzik, D. Alvarez-Castillo, S. Stuglik, O. Ruimi, O. Skorenok, J. Zamora-Saa, J. M. Vaquero, T. Wibig, M. Knap, K. Dziadkowiec, M. Karpiel, O. Sushchov, J. W. Mietelski, K. Gorzkiewicz, N. Zabari, K. Almeida Cheminant, B. Idźkowski, T. Bulik, G. Bhatta, N. Budnev, R. Kamiński, M. V. Medvedev, K. Kozak, O. Bar, Ł. Bibrzycki, M. Bielewicz, M. Frontczak, P. Kovács, B. Łozowski, J. Miszczyk, M. Niedźwiecki, L. del Peral, M. Piekarczyk, M. D. Rodriguez Frias, K. Rzecki, K. Smelcerz, T. Sośnicki, J. Stasielak, A. A. Tursunov
AI-generated Key Points
- Scientists have been researching early warning systems for earthquakes by studying correlations between cosmic ray detection rates and seismic activity.
- A recent study found a significant correlation between the average variation of cosmic ray detection rates and global seismic activity with a time lag of approximately two weeks.
- The correlation varied with a periodicity resembling the undecenal solar cycle, with a shift in phase of around three years.
- At local maxima, the correlation exceeded 6 sigma, indicating strong statistical significance.
- These precursor characteristics suggest that these correlations could be used to create an effective early warning system for earthquakes.
- The study involved collaboration among numerous authors from different institutions and disciplines, including data visualization experts and project administrators.
- All data used in this study are publicly available in cited databases.
Abstract: The search for correlations between secondary cosmic ray detection rates and seismic effects has long been a subject of investigation motivated by the hope of identifying a new precursor type that could feed a global early warning system against earthquakes. Here we show for the first time that the average variation of the cosmic ray detection rates correlates with the global seismic activity to be observed with a time lag of approximately two weeks, and that the significance of the effect varies with a periodicity resembling the undecenal solar cycle, with a shift in phase of around three years, exceeding 6 sigma at local maxima. The precursor characteristics of the observed correlations point to a pioneer perspective of an early warning system against earthquakes.
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