Organised crime infiltration in the legitimate private economy - An empirical network analysis approach

Authors: Stefano Gurciullo

27 pages, 6, figures, International Crime and Intelligence Analysis Conference - 2012, Manchester
License: CC BY-NC-SA 3.0

Results of the summarizing process for the arXiv paper: 1403.5071v1

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Organised crime is a significant issue in many countries, with Italian Mafias alone estimated to have registered 135 billion euros in profits in 2010. This money, largely derived from illicit markets such as drugs, prostitution and arms, is often invested into legitimate private economies. However, this can destabilise affected economies and lead to violent competition and stagnation. Despite the severity of the problem, few attempts have been made to uncover the patterns followed by criminal organisations in their business ventures due to poor data availability or the high risk involved in gathering it. Stefano Gurciullo's paper aims to address this gap by analysing information about the Sicilian Mafia's infiltration into a city's legitimate private economy using network techniques. The research shows that sectors with a high degree of centrality and fewer firms are most vulnerable to security threats from organised crime groups. Additionally, centrality is also a key criterion for making a firm sensitive to infiltration if it belongs to a susceptible economic sector. This study provides valuable insights into how organised crime operates within legitimate economies and highlights areas where increased vigilance may be necessary.
AI-generated keywords: Organised crime Italian Mafias illicit markets Sicilian Mafia economic sector

AI-generated Key Points

  • Italian Mafias generated 135 billion euros in profits in 2010 from illicit markets
  • Organised crime invests money into legitimate private economies, which can destabilise affected economies and lead to violent competition and stagnation
  • Poor data availability and high risk involved in gathering it has hindered attempts to uncover patterns followed by criminal organisations in their business ventures
  • Stefano Gurciullo's paper analyses information about the Sicilian Mafia's infiltration into a city's legitimate private economy using network techniques
  • Sectors with high centrality and fewer firms are most vulnerable to security threats from organised crime groups
  • Centrality is also a key criterion for making a firm sensitive to infiltration if it belongs to a susceptible economic sector
  • Increased vigilance may be necessary in vulnerable sectors to prevent organised crime from operating within legitimate economies.
Also access our AI generated: Comprehensive summary, Lay summary, Blog-like article; or ask questions about this paper to our AI assistant.

Abstract: It is estimated that Italian Mafias registered 135 billion euros in profits only in 2010. Part of this huge amount of money, coming mostly from the drugs, prostitution and arms illicit markets, is often used to invest into legitimate private economies. As a consequence, the affected economies destabilise, become entrenched with violent forms of competition and are bound to stagnation. Nonetheless, few are the attempts to uncover the patterns followed by criminal organisations in their business ventures. The reason lays mostly in the poor availability of data on criminal activity, or in the highly risky task of gather it. This paper partially fills this gap thanks to access to information about the Sicilian Mafia in a city. More specifically, it tries to analyse the nature and extent of criminal infiltration into the legitimate private economy of the case-study using network techniques. The research demonstrates that sectors with a high degree of centrality and comprising fewer firms are the most vulnerable to this kind of security threat. It also shows that centrality is also the key criterion that makes a firm sensitive to infiltration, provided it belongs to a susceptible economic sector.

Submitted to arXiv on 20 Mar. 2014

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