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Macroeconomic Volatility and Stock Market Volatility, Worldwide

Francis X. Diebold (National Bureau of Economic Research, University of Pennsylvania), Kamil Yılmaz (National Bureau of Economic Research, Koç University)

National Bureau of Economic Research
DOI: 10.3386/w14269 (Economics, Econometrics and Finance)
Licence : non indiquée (tous droits réservés)

Résumé : Notwithstanding its impressive contributions to empirical financial economics, there remains a significant gap in the volatility literature, namely its relative neglect of the connection between macroeconomic fundamentals and asset return volatility.We progress by analyzing a broad international cross section of stock markets covering approximately forty countries.We find a clear link between macroeconomic fundamentals and stock market volatilities, with volatile fundamentals translating into volatile stock markets.

Publié le 01 Aoû. 2008