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OUTLIER DIAGNOSTICS IN TIME SERIES ANALYSIS
Johannes Ledolter (University of Iowa)
Résumé : Abstract.Cook's likelihood displacement is a convenient measure of the impact of a model perturbation on parameter estimates. A commonly used model perturbation in regression is the deletion of acase, or equation. A natural model perturbation in the time series context is the deletion of anobservation, or a group of observations. Diagnostics that measure the impact of individual observations on the time series estimates are explored in this paper. A diagnostic that compares the estimates of the innovation variance with and without a particular observation is studied in detail.