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Stock price forecast with deep learning

Firuz Kamalov, Linda Smail, Ikhlaas Gurrib

arXiv: 2103.14081v1 - DOI (q-fin.ST)
Published in: 2020 International Conference on Decision Aid Sciences and Application (DASA)

Résumé : In this paper, we compare various approaches to stock price prediction using neural networks. We analyze the performance fully connected, convolutional, and recurrent architectures in predicting the next day value of S&P 500 index based on its previous values. We further expand our analysis by including three different optimization techniques: Stochastic Gradient Descent, Root Mean Square Propagation, and Adaptive Moment Estimation. The numerical experiments reveal that a single layer recurrent neural network with RMSprop optimizer produces optimal results with validation and test Mean Absolute Error of 0.0150 and 0.0148 respectively.

Soumis à arXiv le 21 Mar. 2021