@misc{fritz2020role,
  title={The Role of Governmental Weapons Procurements in Forecasting Monthly Fatalities in Intrastate Conflicts: A Semiparametric Hierarchical Hurdle Model},
  author={Cornelius Fritz and Marius Mehrl and Paul W. Thurner and Göran Kauermann},
  year={2020},
  eprint={2012.08246},
  archivePrefix={arXiv},
  primaryClass={stat.AP},
  doi={10.1080/03050629.2022.1993210},
  url={https://arxiv.org/abs/2012.08246}
}