@misc{mohanty2026prediction,
  title={Do Prediction Markets Forecast Cryptocurrency Volatility? Evidence from Kalshi Macro Contracts},
  author={Hardhik Mohanty and Bhaskar Krishnamachari},
  year={2026},
  eprint={2604.01431},
  archivePrefix={arXiv},
  primaryClass={q-fin.ST},
  url={https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.01431}
}