@misc{vilmarest2023adaptive, title={An adaptive volatility method for probabilistic forecasting and its application to the M6 financial forecasting competition}, author={Joseph de Vilmarest and Nicklas Werge}, year={2023}, eprint={2303.01855}, archivePrefix={arXiv}, primaryClass={q-fin.PM}, url={https://arxiv.org/abs/2303.01855} }