@misc{gneiting2010predicting,
  title={Predicting Inflation: Professional Experts Versus No-Change Forecasts},
  author={Tilmann Gneiting and Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir},
  year={2010},
  eprint={1010.2318},
  archivePrefix={arXiv},
  primaryClass={stat.AP},
  url={https://arxiv.org/abs/1010.2318}
}